Toledo vs. Central Michigan Free College Football Picks

dan lefevour

Toledo vs. Central Michigan Free College Football Picks: Tonight the little known MAC conference gets some love from college football when the Central Michigan Chippewas host the Toledo Rockets at 8 PM ET on ESPN Wednesday Night Football. Central Michigan (7-2) hoped to crack the top-25 before last week’s game against Boston College only to get outclassed 10-31 as +5.5 away underdogs. Toledo (4-5) lost a game they were expected to win last week when they had an off-night against Miami of Ohio 24-31 as -5 away favorites.
 

The Toledo vs. Central Michigan Free College Football Picks NCAA Football Betting line is UCM -17 at Sportsbetting.com.

Central Michigan Offense vs. Toledo Defense: Central Michigan’s offense (#34) led by NFL QB prospect Dan LeFevour will have a big edge over Toledo’s #113 defense. Toledo’s pass-defense has been the strength of their team but this week they will be burned for 300+ yards by Dan LeFevour (1848 yds, 68.8%, 16-5 ratio). On the ground Central Michigan should be able to keep Toledo off-balance with a rushing attack that averages 4.7 yards per carry to a Toledo defense that allows 4.9 ypc. The Toledo vs. Central Michigan Free College Football Picks NCAA Football Betting Total is at 60.5 at Sportsbetting.com.

Toledo Offense vs. Central Michigan Defense: Toledo’s offense (#50) has a strong running attack led by 5’10” 200 Lb. DaJuane Collins (793 yds,  5.8, 8 td). Toledo’s ground game will be met by a UCM run D that only allows 3.5 yards per carry but is not untouchable. Toledo should have enough success on the ground to keep Dan LeFevour and UCM’s offense off the field enough to give them a chance to pull the upset. Toledo’s passing attack is below-average but overall their offense is just a few ticks behind’s UCM’s well-regarded defense that ranks #18.
 
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Intangibles: UCM is 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 home games. Toledo is 8-19 ATS in their last 27 away games.  UCM QB Dan LeFevour has been battling migraine headaches and his wideout corps is banged up. UCM has the #31 ranked special teams Toledo is #118. UCM has a +3.5 home-field advantage.

Brad Marchetti

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