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2011 Belmont Stakes Predictions & Betting Odds Preview

by Michael Kashin on Saturday, June 11th, 2011

As we break down the betting odds preview for the 2011 Belmont Stakes, my predictions will include a mix of favorites with one horse from the middle of the morning line odds list. Most of the drama will be surrounding the rematch between Animal Kingdom and Shackleford, the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes winners, respectively. Now that the post positions have been released, and now that the race is almost here, the field can be closely inspected, and those who know what to look for will be able to see which horses may have the advantage going forward. Master of Hounds is worth a close look in this race, as his owners shipped him back to Ireland after the Derby, and then back to the USA for the Belmont. This horse hasn’t had much time to train, but his owners must see something to cover those types of travel expenses and with Bodog listing him as a 10-1 Belmont Stakes picks long shot to win, that type of value is right up my alley.

Shackleford’s advantage, as we have seen in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes is that is gets out to a quick lead. His problem has always been stamina rather than getting in position, and since he drew the outside track for the Belmont, it is going to be much harder for him to make it to the front of the pack. This is the reason why I’m dismissing Shackleford from my Belmont predictions, even though his horse racing odds are listing him at the short price of 9-2. Nehro is the buzz horse for this race, and he is going to be a popular choice on Saturday. I’m not buying into him, though. He has run three stakes races, and all three times he has finished second. In at least two of those races the win was there for him to grab and he didn’t grab it.

Like I mentioned before, I’m leaning towards Master of Hounds (10-1), because this horse is bred for distance. He should fare well in what will be the longest of the three Triple Crown races at 1.5 miles. My exacta will contain Animal Kingdom (2-1) coming in second, so if that combo is not as exotic as you would have liked.

Odds to win 2011 Belmont Stakes

1. Master of Hounds  10-1
2. Stay Thirsty  20-1
3. Ruler on Ice  20-1  
4. Santiva  15-1
5. Brilliant Speed  15-1
6. Nehro  4-1
7. Monzon  30-1
8. Prime Cut  15-1
9. Animal Kingdom  2-1
10. Mucho Macho Man  10-1
11. Isn’t He Perfect  30-1
12. Shackleford  9-2