With NFL Week 13 about to rev up tomorrow night in Dallas, it’s the perfect time to run through the numbers that came out of Week 12 in the NFL predictions. I wrote an article earlier in the week talking about how the favorites killed the bookies last week and how November as a whole saw favorites go 37-15-4. Thankfully, we’re on to December. Here’s the lowdown on what came out of Week 12.
Favorites Rule the Week
As I’m sure every bookie is aware, Week 12 was the week of the favorite. Overall, they went 12-4, but prior to the Sunday Nighter in Pittsburgh, the favorite was an incredible 12-2. Like I stated in my previous article, five games last week closed with a double-digit spread, including the Eagles (-15), Patriots (-17.5) and Falcons (-11), who all covered, while the Chiefs lost 16-10 to the Bills and the Steelers won by 3 as a 15-point favorite.
Second half spreads weren’t much more favorable to sportsbooks, as the favorite was 10-6. One second half line of note was in the Bears/Eagles game. With a 24-0 half time lead, the Eagles closed as a 4.5-point second half favorite. The Bears won it by half a point holding Philadelphia to 7 points in the second half, with Chicago scoring their only points of the game on a 38-yard Cairo Santos field goal.
No Clear Total Winner
Things evened out when it came to totals in Week 12. The OVER was 7-9 this past week, with second half totals going 9-7. There were a handful of games that had double-digit swings in totals. NFL bookmakers closed the Bills/Chief’s game with a total 47, but finished with only 26 points scores, a difference of -21.
That crazy game in Carolina saw an even bigger difference, with the total of 39 going OVER by 23 with a final score of 35-27. On the other side of the spectrum, Monday Night Football saw the UNDER win by just 0.5 after it closed at 39.5 with Baltimore pulling out a 23-16 win.
Five Teams Top 10 in Total Offense and Defense
At the end of Week 12, we have five teams ranked Top 10 in both total offense and defense, according to ESPN stats. If these stats told the whole story, it easy to see why the Philadelphia Eagles top most power rankings. They are 3 rd in total offense and 6 th in total defense, while the Minnesota Vikings are close behind at No. 5 on both sides of the ball.
Other teams in the Top 10 on both lists include the Pittsburgh Steelers (Off-7, Def-4), the Seattle Seahawks (Off-8, Def-8) and Atlanta Falcons (Off-6, Def-10). The New England Patriots top the list in total offense, but still don’t look like a Bill Belichick coached team at number 30 in total defense. Two teams with very similar numbers who lead their respective divisions are the New Orleans Saints (Off-2, Def-15) and the Los Angles Rams (Off-4, Def-16).
If these numbers stay consistent the rest of the way, you’re most likely looking at the teams that will be playing in the post-season and possibly the best bet to put your money on the rest of the way.