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Oklahoma at Florida State College Football Predictions 2011

by Jonathan Pou on Saturday, September 17th, 2011

The No.5 Florida State Seminoles (2-0) have been waiting for the opportunity to pull off an NCAA predictions upset over the No.1 Oklahoma Sooners (2-0) and after last year’s 47-17 romp in Norman, Doak Campbell Stadium will be rocking on Saturday at 8:00pm ET. The Oklahoma Sooners were 7-point favorites in last year’s win in this series, which shows me that the only difference with the odds in this season’s matchup is the customary 3 to 4 point swing given to the home team. With the college football predictions slightly favoring the Sooners +3.5 (-115), Oklahoma will be on serious upset alert on Saturday when they try to slow down E.J. Manuel and company. Keep in mind that I am not calling for an upset here because it is the cool thing to do, but because Oklahoma’s 1-5 ATS mark as a road favorite certainly creates some doubt.

This contest will be hard to predict because there are trends on both sides that contradict each other and cause some downright confusion. Oklahoma head coach Bob Stoops has led his team to a 13-3 mark following regular-season bye weeks, but the Sooners are 2-2 ATS in this situation the last two years. Florida State has played two games against sub-par competition, but they may falter on Saturday, since they have a 3-6 ATS mark after two or more consecutive wins. I think Florida State has what it takes to knock off the top team in the land and with the added motivation that the Seminoles have been sitting on; I may even take them to win straight up. This week’s college football spreads are listing Oklahoma listed as 3.5-point road favorites with the point total standing still at 55. But I’m going to be bold and I’m taking Florida State +145 to pull off the shocker.

Florida State second-year head coach Jimbo Fisher has compiled an 8-1 home record during his brief tenure. His only blemish is a 37-35 loss to the North Carolina Tar Heels as 10.5-point favorites on Nov. 6, 2010, and usually, head coaches have a distinct motivational edge in preparing a team that is listed as a home underdog for such a prime-time contest. Oklahoma quarterback Landry Jones was phenomenal in last year’s meeting, connecting on 30 of 40 passes for 380 yards and four touchdowns. And while Jones will be targeting All-American wide receiver Ryan Broyles, who grabbed 12 passes for 124 yards against the Seminoles last season, Florida State’s All-American Cornerbacks will make life difficult for Oklahoma and make other people a lot of money at Bodog Sportsbook. College football betting experts are still wary of his numbers on the road though, where he threw 13 touchdowns versus eight interceptions last season.

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College Football Point Spreads Week 3

Sooners -3.5 (-105) vs Seminoles +3.5 (-115)