No major conference tournament this week appears more wide open for a possible winner than the Big Ten, which was the only BCS conference to see a three-way tie for first to end the regular season. Ohio State got the top seed for the Big Ten Tournament, which opens Thursday afternoon in Indianapolis – bet on it with Bodog’s college basketball odds.
OSU has opened as a 7/4 favorite on Bodog to win this tournament. The Buckeyes are the most “whole” team right now and enter having won 10 of 11. They also have conference player of the year Evan Turner, who led the Big Ten in both scoring (19.5) and rebounding (9.4) and was second in assists (5.8). He is the first player in Big Ten history to finish in the top two spots in those three categories.
Purdue and Michigan State, the co-regular champs with the Buckeyes, both have issues entering the tourney. Of course the Boilermakers (11/2 to win on Bodog) lost star Robbie Hummel to a season-ending knee injury and then promptly struggled a bit in the final three games, including a loss to the Spartans. The Boilers are the defending tourney champs. MSU (43/20 on Bodog) could be in a spot of trouble in tits opening game in this tournament at a minimum as starting guard Chris Allen has been suspended for undisclosed reasons and might not return at all for this tournament. Allen (9.1 ppg) wasn’t a player on the level of Hummel but still a solid contributor and the team’s best three-point shooter. The Spartans, for all their NCAA Tournament success, haven’t won a Big Ten Tournament in 10 years.
Only four Big Ten teams have locked down NCAA bids, and the fourth is Wisconsin (2/1 on Bodog). The Badgers closed the season with four wins in a row and seem to have found themselves with the return of big man from a broken wrist. The Badgers beat all three top seeds in this tournament once this season, although all three wins came in Madison. Illinois and Minnesota both have shots at at-large bids if they win a few games.
If history holds, one of the top three seeds will win the tournament because a top-three team has in the past eight seasons and 10 of 12 overall. The lowest seed to win was No. 6 Iowa back in 2001. The No. 1 seed has won the tournament just four times.
Here is the schedule for the first two rounds, all times Eastern:
Thursday’s first round
No. 8 Michigan vs. No. 9 Iowa, 2:30 p.m.
No. 7 Northwestern vs. No. 10 Indiana, 5 p.m.
No. 6 Minnesota vs. No. 11 Penn State, 7:30 p.m.
Friday’s quarterfinals
No. 1 Ohio State vs. MICH/IOWA, Noon
No. 4 Wisconsin vs. No. 5 Illinois, 3 p.m.
No. 2 Purdue vs. NW/IND, 6:30 p.m
No. 3 Michigan State vs. MIN/PSU, 9 ET
Get all your Big Ten Tournament odds at Bodog
The SEC Tournament, which begins Thursday in Nashville, certainly lacks the drama of pretty much all of the major conference tournaments because the SEC crown has all but been given to Kentucky – bet on the tournament all week with Bodog’s NCAA basketball odds.
And why shouldn’t the Wildcats be massive favorites – opening at 2/5 – after going 14-2 during the regular season (with the two losses only coming in road games)? UK hasn’t won this tournament since 2004 but boasts the conference player of the year (John Wall) and freshman of the year (DeMarcus Cousins, who is a freshman like Wall). Add in Patrick Patterson, and the Cats have the three best players on the floor against any SEC foe. UK won on average by 10.1 points in SEC play, but it had seven games decided by seven points or fewer. The Wildcats’ first two games in this tournament could be against the only two teams to beat them (South Carolina and Tennessee).
Because this tournament is in Nashville, don’t rule out hometown Vanderbilt (4/1 on Bodog to win) or Tennessee (3/1). The Vols won five of their last six games, which included wins over Kentucky and at Mississippi State, the SEC West champ and No. 2 seed in this tournament. The Vols would have to face UK in the semis, while Vandy avoids Kentucky until the final – the Wildcats swept Vandy this year but were pushed to the limit in the most recent meeting.
Expect the champ to come from the East Division as it is clearly the dominant division in the conference, with Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee and Florida going a combined 24-0 against the SEC West.
The SEC probably only has three lock NCAA Tournament bids at the moment (UK, Tennessee, Vandy). Thus that could mean a potential quarterfinal matchup between Florida (12/1) and Mississippi State (13/2), two bubble teams, could be for the conference’s final at-large bid. The Gators should have little trouble in their opener against Auburn, and they beat MSU head-to-head once this year. UF enters on a three-game skid, while the Bulldogs enter having lost two in a row.
This tournament has produced a surprise tournament champ each of the last two years, with Georgia winning it in 2008 and Mississippi State a year ago. Alabama, Auburn and Ole Miss are the only SEC teams that haven't won two or more SEC Tournament games in a single year since 2002.
Here are the matchups in the first two rounds, all times Eastern:
Thursday’s first round
(E5) South Carolina vs. (W4) Alabama, 1 p.m
(W6) LSU vs. (E3) Tennessee, 3:15 p.m.
(W5) Auburn (E4) Florida, 7:30 p.m.
(E6) Georgia vs. (W3) Arkansas, 9:45 p.m.
Friday’s quarterfinals
South Carolina/Alabama vs. (E1) Kentucky, 1 p.m.
LSU/Tennessee vs. (W2) Ole Miss, 3:15 p.m.
Auburn/Florida vs. (W1) Mississippi State, 7:30 p.m.
Georgia/Arkansas vs. (E2) Vanderbilt, 9:45 p.m.
Get all your SEC Tournament odds and props at Bodog
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